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It's pretty crazy. 8-10% in another five years does not seem unreasonable at all, though it seemed completely impossible for the last twenty years.
In my opinion a bit over 5% is the point where it's entrenched. It's when, to the individual Linux user, it stops mattering how much higher it goes. Peripheral and hardware manufacturers will take notice and start supporting Linux as the rule rather than the exception, you'll be really able to buy stuff and just expect it to work.