Ooh, this is beautiful!

Total numbers are a bit weird. i mean how can it be more linux users if we take out chinese and enable english only. overall number should also decrease then.

other than that.. graphs are nice

Quoting: XpanderTotal numbers are a bit weird. i mean how can it be more linux users if we take out chinese and enable english only. overall number should also decrease then.

other than that.. graphs are nice

Yeah that bit needs redoing :) the normal Linux total is correct.

And, just like that, Liam has made the best estimate at how many of us there are to date. Excellent work. :-)

Quoting: damarrinAnd, just like that, Liam has made the best estimate at how many of us there are to date.

Dozens of us!

I think the "150 million active users now" estimate might be a tad conservative, but who knows. Oh right, Valve knows.

If someone has a contact at Valve, maybe they could ask for an unofficial opinion on the scale of "off by a mile" to "looks about right"?

yeah 150 mil active users might be a bit conservative because it was 125 mil before the chinese bump, so i bet theres a lot more, i think this can be even calculated approximetly, with the regular growth percentage + adding the simplified chinese upshift

edit:
if we take that magical 1% of linux users (without simplified chinese like it used to be before) and we know the 125 mil active users, then we had more than 1 mil of linux users, i doubt it has fallen back to 420k only, probably it has remained same or even gained more.

Well, given they said they were seeing around 1.5 million new purchasers a month since Jan 2016 the 150 million could be between 160-170 million really.

Quoting: liamdaweWell, given they said they were seeing around 1.5 million new purchasers a month since Jan 2016 the 150 million could be between 160-170 million really.

yes, now add that september 2017 huge gain in Chinese market also and we can get somewhere closer to the truth.

also the 18 january how many linux users were online might be a bit off, because of the timezones and its just the peak.
at the point it got into that peak it was Asian primetime, so that meant less linux percentage, but overall during the US and EU primetimes it might have been different number.

well i'm just thinking out loud, ofc we cant possibly calculate everything and no matter what we do theres never 100% accurate results :) Always a topics for arguments and little variables.

any updates on this? i bet you could take the simplified chinese out of the calculation or leave it to around 10% like it used to be and then use the steam growth estimation of 150 mil and calculate total linux users using steam. That would yield a bit more accurate total number i think. Cause i think togheter with the Simplified Chinese growth the 150 mil is way too low number

Either way we do the number, with or without chinese it would give the same total number, as we're dealing with absolute numbers here.

Well what i meant with that is that 150 mil is way too less for prediction. lets calculate again. we have the stats for concurrent users online from 2016 which were around 11-12 mil, then in august-september 2017 (chinese flood) timeframe huge bump happened and in january 2018 there was 18,5 mil

now we calculate the percentage of this jump from 12 mil to 18 mil, which is 33% and we can apply that to the whole user base info also
we have that 125 mil figure from 2016 as well

125 mil + adding that 33% growth means 199 500 000, so lets round it to 200 mil.

now 0.33% from 200 mil is 660 000 Linux users :) thats how i see it.

source for numbers: https://www.statista.com/statistics/308330/number-stream-users/

edit: as a way of confirming this lets again take this 125 mil figure from 2016 and take out the simplified chinese whic was around 8.5% in 2016, that is 10625000 simplified chinese users, now we take those numbers out from 125 mil and we are with a number of 114375000.

now we know that without simplified chinese we were 0.69% so lets calculate that from the 114 mil and we get

789187 Linux users, which is even more than our previous calculation.