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I have a bad feeling that Linux will never be more than a niche operating system on the home desktop.
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Millions are using it, it is in no way a niche. The commercial crap has millions and billions of dollars in advertising and unfair government policies to coax pepople into it. Linux only has the occasional 'weirdo' that, if lucky, shows/endorses it to his/her surroundings.
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Well you can't beat millions of dollars in marketing and lobbying that shaped the stupid copyright and software patent laws in the US (and also worldwide) and keep a stranglehold on education so the masses are almost certainly educated with windows as 'the computer', or the third party software like adobe reader that act as a platform lock if you need to interact with some government agencies.
Also, spreading the GNU operating won't spread like windows, you need the activists and an active community to do so.
I also think you have a very negative view about people. 'Linux' in general needs no more knowledge than windows, heck, it requires less. For example, ubuntu/debina/your favourite distro here can partition a hard disk fine. Windows 10 can't. I needed to use a gparted live image just to partition a drive into efi mode so the 'easy' OS could install itself. It also has built-in ads that a handful of people i talked to despise. They only need to keep windows around because of adobe reader's platform lock. (it's required for some EU papers, and government endorced signing authorities) And they are no 'computer wizards'.
There are also constant problems that have been hallmarks of windows: it's slow even though they did almost nothing with it, this or that driver doesn't work, etc...
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Thanks for doing this!
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Actually, it's quite simple. Really. :)
Unless you have a realistic underlying model, don't fit "something".
It's actually not even needed for the given data to grasp.
Thanks again for collecting the data.
Can you somehow automatize that stuff, so that in future you/we can
track that data without much further work?
Edit:
Also, could you please (additionally) do this plot by normalizing to the total number of games released in the particular month?
This would give us the fraction of Linux games released per month.
I guess it is a reasonable assumption that the total number of released
games on Steam is still on a rising trend?
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This is true only for IT enthusiast. Many users (even in the gaming world) don't really know what a live image is or why you need to partition your hard drive. With windows, you buy a computer ready to run, if it slows down or don't boot anymore you can pay someone to fix it or you just buy another one.
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Even though native gaming declined a bit (basically because of PROTON), Linux has a brighter future than ever.